Intuitive Machines: FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2026

On its Aug 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Intuitive Machines said 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Moon Base Yes99✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Golden Dome Yes45✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpaceX Yes44✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Goonhilly Earth Station Yes11✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis IV Yes11✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mars 3+ timesNo22✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
Space Force No02✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nuclear No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis III No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
China / Chinese No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓22%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “Golden Dome”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…were awarded an additional 18 satellites supporting AMDT3, part of the nation's Golden Dome architecture. In addition, we received ATP on an award for two…

Pete Mc Grathcompanyprepared

…commercial GEO satellite awards, our sixth CLPS mission, CS-8, and 18 AMDT3 Golden Dome satellites for L3Harris in support of their national security space customer.…

Pete Mc Grathcompanyprepared

…security programs in the second half of the year, including the AMDT3 Golden Dome award that was already booked in the third quarter. In addition,…

Alex Prestonanalystqa

…for taking the question. Just curious, going back to the National Security Golden Dome side of things, right? The additional AMDT3 award supporting L3Harris. It…

Steve Altemuscompanyqa

…with our BUSes as we move forward. But right now in the Golden Dome area, we are a subcontractor supporting the L3Harris on the BUSes.

Where the listed words were said

Steve Altemuscompany“Moon Base” · prepared

…us to respond more quickly and deliver on our customers' timelines. NASA Moon Base is an example, an excellent example. While we begin by building…

Pete Mc Grathcompany“SpaceX” · prepared

…integration costs, and $17 million associated with the IM-4 milestone payment to SpaceX. We believe the strategic investment in the quarter has strengthened our production…

Steve Altemuscompany“Goonhilly Earth Station” · prepared

Our most recent acquisition of Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT expanded our ground segment communications infrastructure with globally recognized deep space ground systems that strengthen…

Steve Altemuscompany“Artemis IV” · qa

…the systems that, pardon me, all the systems that have to support Artemis IV, which is humans on the Moon in 2028. Our fully operational…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP