Applied Optoelectronics: FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2026

On its Aug 6, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Applied Optoelectronics said 10 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
CPO / Co-Packaged Optics Yes1519✓60%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes44✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
Qualification Yes34✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
China / Chinese Yes39✓77%transcripts from the transcript model–
Indium Phosphide Yes23✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Pearland Yes22✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mediacom Yes22✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Quantum Yes11✓40%transcripts from the transcript model–
Refund Yes11✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
DOCSIS 4.0 / DOCSIS 4 Yes11✓27%transcripts from the transcript model–
Firmware No00✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
FCC / Federal Communications Commission No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Innolight No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Mediacom”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Stefan Murrycompanyprepared

…software across our potential customer base. During the quarter, we announced that Mediacom selected AOI as the primary vendor to accelerate its DOCSIS 4.0 network…

Where the listed words were said

Stefan Murrycompany“CPO / Co-Packaged Optics” · prepared

…our manufacturing capacity for our external light source or ELSFP. That's for co-packaged optics or CPO. This utilizes the ultra-narrow linewidth, high-power laser that we…

Stefan Murrycompany“Tariff” · prepared

…edge in ensuring reliable supply of production equipment. During the quarter, direct tariffs had a $1.9 million impact on our income statement. With the overturn…

Stefan Murrycompany“Qualification” · prepared

…transceivers. We began delivering these 800G orders in Q2. We expect full qualification of our first 1.6Tb product by this customer within the next couple…

Thompson Lincompany“China / Chinese” · qa

…equipment, everything. I think it's, yes, there'll be some new supply in China. We are not surprised because that's what market needs. Most of them,…

Stefan Murrycompany“Indium Phosphide” · prepared

…of 800G and 1.6T transceivers. While this will not directly increase our indium phosphide wafer capacity, we plan to move the existing transceiver production from…

Stefan Murrycompany“Pearland” · prepared

…for 800G and 1.6T transceivers. We began construction on these facilities in Pearland recently, and we're proud to have received strong local support to meet…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/applied-optoelectronics:2026-08-06:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=applied-optoelectronics:2026-08-06:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP