Will Applied Optoelectronics say “Refund”?
Applied Optoelectronics said “Refund” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics said “Refund” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Applied Optoelectronics
Refund
- Probability
- 51% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…had a $1.9 million impact on our income statement. With the overturn of the IEEPA tariffs, we have received a refund of approximately $5.7 million.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
With the overturn of the IEEPA tariff, we have applied for a refund, which we currently anticipate will be at least $5.7 million. As the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Refund |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Applied Optoelectronics say “Refund” on its last earnings call?
- Applied Optoelectronics said “Refund” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1 times.
- How often does Applied Optoelectronics say “Refund”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics said “Refund” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Applied Optoelectronics says “Refund” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Applied Optoelectronics: ‘Refund’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAOI/words/refund (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=refund · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP