Will Applied Optoelectronics say “Firmware”?
Applied Optoelectronics did not say “Firmware” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 8, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics did not say “Firmware” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Applied Optoelectronics
Firmware
- Probability
- 43% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…hyperscale customer. We continue to work with this customer to finalize the firmware used in this module to ensure interoperability across their network, which we…
…in below our expectation of $4,000,000 to $10,000,000 due to the ongoing firmware optimizations I mentioned above. Looking ahead, we expect continued strength in our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Firmware |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Applied Optoelectronics say “Firmware” on its last earnings call?
- Applied Optoelectronics did not say “Firmware” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 8, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Applied Optoelectronics say “Firmware”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics did not say “Firmware” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Applied Optoelectronics says “Firmware” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Applied Optoelectronics: ‘Firmware’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAOI/words/firmware (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=firmware · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP