AMD (AMD): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026

Tue, Aug 4Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAMD

On its Aug 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), AMD said 22 of the 24 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 23 of 24 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

24 words · 22 settled yes · our count agreed on 23 of 24

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ timesYes6969✓81%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:17, AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times–
Data Center 10+ timesYes5454✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:04, Data Center 10+ times–
CPU 20+ timesYes3535✓65%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:03, CPU 20+ times–
Helios Yes2126✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:35, Helios–
Memory / HBM Yes1723✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:32, Memory / HBM–
Game / Gaming 5+ timesYes1111✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:53, Game / Gaming 5+ times–
Venice Yes1010✓82%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:54, Venice–
ROCm Yes99✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 7:43, ROCm–
GPU 10+ timesYes99✗80%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:41, GPU 10+ times–
Inference / Inferencing Yes89✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:26, Inference / Inferencing–
Microsoft / Azure Yes66✓62%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:33, Microsoft / Azure–
Supply Chain Yes56✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 39:33, Supply Chain–
MI450 / MI455X Yes45✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:40, MI450 / MI455X–
OpenAI Yes44✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:07, OpenAI–
Meta Yes44✓60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:08, Meta–
Agentic AI Yes33✓70%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:40, Agentic AI–
Frontier Yes22✓53%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:43, Frontier–
China Yes11✓88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:15, China–
Desktop Yes11✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 45:31, Desktop–
HPC / High-Performance Computing Yes11✓58%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:43, HPC / High-Performance Computing–
Oracle Yes11✓52%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:34, Oracle–
Export Restriction / Export Control Yes11✓52%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:12, Export Restriction / Export Control–
Pipeline No00✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
TSMC No00✓17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Frontier”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Lisa Sucompanyprepared · 8:45Hear it 8:41, Lisa Su

…longstanding partnership with Microsoft. Microsoft will deploy Helios at scale on Azure for frontier model inferencing across Microsoft, its AI customers, and Azure AI services.

Lisa Sucompanyqa · 49:19Hear it 49:14, Lisa Su

…way to say it is, we've talked about sort of the large frontier model companies, OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta. They will be consuming through a number…

Where the listed words were said

Lisa Sucompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence (20+)” · prepared · 3:19Hear it 3:13, Lisa Su

…ago, reflecting the rapidly expanding scale of our server and data center AI businesses. Our record results mark another clear step up in AMD's financial…

Lisa Sucompany“Data Center (10+)” · prepared · 3:50Hear it 3:48, Lisa Su

…growth and earnings power in the years ahead. Turning to our segments, data center revenue grew 107% year-over-year to a record $6.7 billion, driven by…

Lisa Sucompany“CPU (20+)” · prepared · 5:46Hear it 5:41, Lisa Su

Looking ahead, agentic AI is creating a new growth vector for server CPUs, spanning high-frequency AI host nodes, high-density agentic servers, and general-purpose cloud and…

Lisa Sucompany“Helios” · prepared · 7:37Hear it 7:34, Lisa Su

…providers expanded MI350 series availability. At our Advancing AI event, we launched Helios, our rack scale AI platform combining EPYC Venice CPUs, MI450 series GPUs,…

Lisa Sucompany“Memory / HBM” · prepared · 6:34Hear it 6:28, Lisa Su

…leadership per core and per socket performance with a broad range of memory and IO configurations, giving customers greater flexibility to optimize performance, efficiency, and…

Lisa Sucompany“Game / Gaming (5+)” · prepared · 12:55Hear it 12:53, Lisa Su

…revenue to more than double year-over-year in 2027. Turning to client and gaming, segment revenue grew 6% year-over-year to $3.8 billion. In client, revenue increased…

Lisa Sucompany“Venice” · prepared · 6:11Hear it 6:06, Lisa Su

…history. Built on our all-new Zen 6 core and two nanometer technology, Venice extends EPYC leadership in performance and efficiency, delivering more than twice the…

Lisa Sucompany“ROCm” · prepared · 10:06Hear it 10:03, Lisa Su

Turning to our AI software stack, ROCm has reached an important inflection point with the performance, capabilities, and developer experience customers need to deploy AI…

Lisa Sucompany“GPU (10+)” · prepared · 8:18Hear it 8:15, Lisa Su

…partnership with Anthropic. Anthropic will deploy up to 2 GWof MI450 series GPUs in Helios, with deployment of the first gigawatt beginning in the first…

Lisa Sucompany“Inference / Inferencing” · prepared · 11:02Hear it 10:56, Lisa Su

…ROCm.AI delivers more than twice the training performance and more than three times the inferencing performance of ROCm 7 across a broad range of models.

Lisa Sucompany“Microsoft / Azure” · prepared · 4:35Hear it 4:29, Lisa Su

…EPYC Genoa families. In cloud, hyperscalers continued expanding EPYC across their internal infrastructure and public cloud offerings, including AWS, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, and others.

Lisa Sucompany“Supply Chain” · qa · 39:35Hear it 39:29, Lisa Su

…the significant inflection point in server demand, we've been working across our supply chain. That's wafers, that's back-end capacity, that's substrates, that's all of the…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amd:2026-08-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amd:2026-08-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP