Will AMD say “Export Restriction / Export Control”?
AMD said “Export Restriction / Export Control” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 7, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, AMD said “Export Restriction / Export Control” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
AMD
Export Restriction / Export Control
- Probability
- 49% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…included approximately $800 million of inventory and related charges associated with US export control restrictions on MI308 shipments to China. Unless otherwise noted, comments making…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…as higher EPYC and Ryzen processor sales more than offset headwinds from export controls that impacted Instinct sales. We set records for both EPYC and…
…flow. Excluding the $800 million inventory write-down related to data center AI export controls, gross margin was 54%, marking our sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…headwinds from the dynamic macro and regulatory environments, including the recently announced export controls for Instinct MI308X shipments to China, we believe they are more…
…the guide for Q2, as Jean mentioned, we do have the new export control limitation on MI308. So, we have taken out that revenue, which…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Export Restriction / Export Control |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did AMD say “Export Restriction / Export Control” on its last earnings call?
- AMD said “Export Restriction / Export Control” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 7, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does AMD say “Export Restriction / Export Control”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, AMD said “Export Restriction / Export Control” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability AMD says “Export Restriction / Export Control” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “AMD: ‘Export Restriction / Export Control’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMD/words/export-control-or-export-restriction (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amd&word=export%20control%20%2F%20export%20restriction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amd&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP