Will AMD say “Frontier”?

AMD said “Frontier” 2 times on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, AMD said “Frontier” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

62%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

AMD

Frontier

Probability
62% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Lisa Sucompanyprepared · 8:45Hear it 8:41, Lisa Su In transcript

…longstanding partnership with Microsoft. Microsoft will deploy Helios at scale on Azure for frontier model inferencing across Microsoft, its AI customers, and Azure AI services.

Lisa Sucompanyqa · 49:19Hear it 49:14, Lisa Su In transcript

…way to say it is, we've talked about sort of the large frontier model companies, OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta. They will be consuming through a number…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Lisa T. SucompanypreparedIn transcript

…more than 1/3 of the world's fastest supercomputers, including El Capitan and Frontier, which retained the #1 and #2 spots on the latest Top 500…

Lisa T. SucompanypreparedIn transcript

…native support for ROCm across key frameworks, including vLLM and SGLang, enabling Frontier models like Llama 4, Gemma 3 and DeepSeek-R1 to launch with day…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 6, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Lisa SucompanypreparedIn transcript

…cloud and enterprise customers in the quarter, including one of the largest frontier model developers that is now using Instinct GPUs to serve a significant…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 4, 2026FrontierPolymarketYes2
Aug 4, 2026FrontierKalshiYes2
Aug 5, 2025FrontierKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did AMD say “Frontier” on its last earnings call?
AMD said “Frontier” 2 times on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 2 times.
How often does AMD say “Frontier”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, AMD said “Frontier” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
What is the probability AMD says “Frontier” next time?
62%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “AMD: ‘Frontier’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMD/words/frontier (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amd&word=frontier · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amd&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP