Constellation Brands: FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jul 1, 2026

On its Jul 1, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q1), Constellation Brands said 17 of the 31 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 31 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

31 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 31 of 31

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Consumer Yes4444✓96%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:54, Consumer–
Beer 5+ timesYes1313✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:48, Beer 5+ times–
Headwind Yes1114✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 11:34, Headwind–
Margin Yes99✓96%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:33, Margin–
Shipment Yes88✓52%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:40, Shipment–
Marketing Yes55✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:20, Marketing–
Fiscal 5+ timesYes55✓76%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:00, Fiscal 5+ times–
World Cup Yes58✓49%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:22, World Cup–
New York Yes44✓16%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:27, New York–
Distributor Yes33✓80%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:00, Distributor–
Depletion / Depletions Yes34✓77%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 35:39, Depletion / Depletions–
California Yes33✓76%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 31:18, California–
Especial Yes35✓57%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 22:37, Especial–
Inflation Yes22✓38%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 31:26, Inflation–
Wine Yes11✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 18:21, Wine–
Football Yes11✓41%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:55, Football–
Mi Campo Yes11✓34%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:20, Mi Campo–
Alcohol 5+ timesNo33✓10%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:42, Alcohol 5+ times–
Wine 5+ timesNo11✓59%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 18:21, Wine 5+ times–
Tariff No00✓88%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sunbrew No00✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inventory No00✓83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Aluminum No00✓70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Shareholder No00✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Construction No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dividend No00✓46%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Cannabis No00✓28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Mexico No00✓25%transcripts from the transcript model–
Drought No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Surge No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
ICE No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Wine”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Nick Finkcompanyqa · 18:23Hear it 18:17, Nick Fink

…just other beers for the beer brands, but could apply to the wine spirits as well, but not just within your category, but what choices…

Where the listed words were said

Nick Finkcompany“Consumer” · prepared · 1:56Hear it 1:50, Nick Fink

…the enduring strength of our brands and the role they continue to play in consumers' lives, even in periods when discretionary spending is more challenged.

Nick Finkcompany“Beer (5+)” · qa · 6:50Hear it 6:49, Nick Fink

…a brand like Corona, where the brand metrics are phenomenal. Most loved beer brand. We've got great distribution, we've got great awareness. Really, brand health…

Nick Finkcompany“Headwind” · qa · 11:36Hear it 11:30, Nick Fink

…quarter, got into the early part of this quarter, some of those headwinds have moderated, we've started to see a modest re-acceleration, I wouldn't say…

Lauren Liebermananalyst“Margin” · qa · 13:35Hear it 13:29, Lauren Lieberman

…cost leverage that looks like you enjoyed this quarter with the gross margins, the margins for beer at 39%. I just wanted to talk a…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Shipment” · qa · 14:24Hear it 14:18, Garth Hankinson

…due to fixed overhead absorption, as you say, related to the higher shipment. In addition to that, we also continue to make great progress on…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Marketing” · qa · 15:22Hear it 15:16, Garth Hankinson

…COGS. Then we had 10 basis points of headwinds related to incremental marketing, mostly to support the World Cup that is happening now, as we…

Operatoroperator“Fiscal (5+)” · prepared · 0:01Hear it 0:00, Operator

Welcome to the Constellation Brands Fiscal Year 2027 first quarter earnings call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. A question and answer…

Nick Finkcompany“World Cup” · qa · 12:24Hear it 12:21, Nick Fink

Certainly, it's been great to see both World Cup and some of the energy that we saw in one of our key markets like New…

Nick Finkcompany“New York” · qa · 24:46Hear it 24:44, Nick Fink

Still number one in New York City, one of the cultural icons of this country, still number one in Miami. You're starting from this really…

Nick Finkcompany“Distributor” · qa · 6:02Hear it 5:56, Nick Fink

…teams, as well as just getting out into the market with our distributors talking about it, there is an execution playbook. It's disciplined, and, you…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Depletion / Depletions” · qa · 35:41Hear it 35:35, Garth Hankinson

…year basis, we would expect, as we always do, that shipments and depletions would align with one another, very closely align with one another. In…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“California” · qa · 31:20Hear it 31:19, Garth Hankinson

…if you look at it on that rate. In a market like California, gas prices at its peak were up 40%, Illinois, 70%, New York,…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/constellation-brands:2026-07-01:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=constellation-brands:2026-07-01:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP