Constellation Brands: FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jul 1, 2026

On its Jul 1, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q1), Constellation Brands said 17 of the 31 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 31 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

31 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 31 of 31

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Consumer Yes4444✓96%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:54, Consumer–
Beer 5+ timesYes1313✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:48, Beer 5+ times–
Headwind Yes1114✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 11:34, Headwind–
Margin Yes99✓96%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:33, Margin–
Shipment Yes88✓52%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:40, Shipment–
Marketing Yes55✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:20, Marketing–
Fiscal 5+ timesYes55✓76%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:00, Fiscal 5+ times–
World Cup Yes58✓49%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:22, World Cup–
New York Yes44✓16%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:27, New York–
Distributor Yes33✓80%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:00, Distributor–
Depletion / Depletions Yes34✓77%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 35:39, Depletion / Depletions–
California Yes33✓76%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 31:18, California–
Especial Yes35✓57%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 22:37, Especial–
Inflation Yes22✓38%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 31:26, Inflation–
Wine Yes11✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 18:21, Wine–
Football Yes11✓41%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:55, Football–
Mi Campo Yes11✓34%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:20, Mi Campo–
Alcohol 5+ timesNo33✓10%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:42, Alcohol 5+ times–
Wine 5+ timesNo11✓59%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 18:21, Wine 5+ times–
Tariff No00✓88%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sunbrew No00✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inventory No00✓83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Aluminum No00✓70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Shareholder No00✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Construction No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dividend No00✓46%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Cannabis No00✓28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Mexico No00✓25%transcripts from the transcript model–
Drought No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Surge No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
ICE No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Nick Finkcompany“Consumer” · prepared · 1:56Hear it 1:50, Nick Fink

…the enduring strength of our brands and the role they continue to play in consumers' lives, even in periods when discretionary spending is more challenged.

Nick Finkcompany“Beer (5+)” · qa · 6:50Hear it 6:49, Nick Fink

…a brand like Corona, where the brand metrics are phenomenal. Most loved beer brand. We've got great distribution, we've got great awareness. Really, brand health…

Nick Finkcompany“Headwind” · qa · 11:36Hear it 11:30, Nick Fink

…quarter, got into the early part of this quarter, some of those headwinds have moderated, we've started to see a modest re-acceleration, I wouldn't say…

Lauren Liebermananalyst“Margin” · qa · 13:35Hear it 13:29, Lauren Lieberman

…cost leverage that looks like you enjoyed this quarter with the gross margins, the margins for beer at 39%. I just wanted to talk a…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Shipment” · qa · 14:24Hear it 14:18, Garth Hankinson

…due to fixed overhead absorption, as you say, related to the higher shipment. In addition to that, we also continue to make great progress on…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Marketing” · qa · 15:22Hear it 15:16, Garth Hankinson

…COGS. Then we had 10 basis points of headwinds related to incremental marketing, mostly to support the World Cup that is happening now, as we…

Operatoroperator“Fiscal (5+)” · prepared · 0:01Hear it 0:00, Operator

Welcome to the Constellation Brands Fiscal Year 2027 first quarter earnings call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. A question and answer…

Nick Finkcompany“World Cup” · qa · 12:24Hear it 12:21, Nick Fink

Certainly, it's been great to see both World Cup and some of the energy that we saw in one of our key markets like New…

Nick Finkcompany“New York” · qa · 24:46Hear it 24:44, Nick Fink

Still number one in New York City, one of the cultural icons of this country, still number one in Miami. You're starting from this really…

Nick Finkcompany“Distributor” · qa · 6:02Hear it 5:56, Nick Fink

…teams, as well as just getting out into the market with our distributors talking about it, there is an execution playbook. It's disciplined, and, you…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Depletion / Depletions” · qa · 35:41Hear it 35:35, Garth Hankinson

…year basis, we would expect, as we always do, that shipments and depletions would align with one another, very closely align with one another. In…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“California” · qa · 31:20Hear it 31:19, Garth Hankinson

…if you look at it on that rate. In a market like California, gas prices at its peak were up 40%, Illinois, 70%, New York,…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/constellation-brands:2026-07-01:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=constellation-brands:2026-07-01:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP