Ally Financial (ALLY): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2026
On its Apr 17, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Ally Financial said 6 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Card | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 90%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Buyback | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 51%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Headwind | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 82%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tailwind | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 80%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Volatility | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 69%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Oil | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 79%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Rate Cut | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 77%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| EV / Electric | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 74%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| FICO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
4 matches for “Oil”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…our approach to underwriting as we assess the potential impact of higher oil prices and lower consumer sentiment. Our ability to actively calibrate our buy…
…lot out there that the consumer is facing, whether it is volatile oil prices or other pieces of inflation. Interest rates are not as low…
…expect any areas where that flows through—perhaps a pull-forward dynamic in applications, people using refunds for car purchases, or getting ahead of higher oil prices?
…but up meaningfully and likely helpful. There is a mix of macro factors—oil prices, consumer sentiment, personal savings. Putting it together, seasonality in the quarter…
Where the listed words were said
…6% year over year and 12% when adjusting for the sale of credit card. Finally, CET1 of 10.1% was up roughly 60 basis points year…
…the prior quarter, and we repurchased shares worth $147 million. Our open-ended buyback authorization continues to provide flexibility, enabling us to remain dynamic in any…
…first quarter was flat year over year despite an approximately $25 million headwind due to the sale of credit card. This momentum reflects the strength…
…points, bringing our cumulative beta to 63%. Additionally, CD maturities remain a tailwind, with approximately $18 billion in maturities in 2026 carrying a weighted average…
…mix of OEMs. This will continue to reduce lease gain and loss volatility over time. On the liability side, cost of funds decreased 9 basis…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/ally-financial:2026-04-17:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=ally-financial:2026-04-17:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP