Will Ally Financial say “Tariff”?
Ally Financial did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 6, 3, 1, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ally Financial said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ally Financial
Tariff
- Probability
- 37% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…past year and a half, I feel it is. Ever since the tariffs came into place, they've been working through those. Now with oil prices,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…elevated competition, significant pull forward demand in 2Q and 3Q tied to tariffs and EV tech credit expiration. And fourth quarter new light vehicle sales…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…plans. Dealers are maintaining leaner inventory levels due to the impact of tariffs, and the effects of demand pull forward. These leaner inventory levels are…
…of demand pull forward just given some of what's going on with tariffs as well as the EV lease tax credit program that terminated at…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Ally Financial say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Ally Financial did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 6, 3, 1, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Ally Financial say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ally Financial said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Ally Financial says “Tariff” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ally Financial: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALLY/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ally-financial&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ally-financial&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP