Ally Financial (ALLY)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 16:50 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 35 word markets on Ally Financial’s earnings calls since 2026, on 16 different words.

History Wall

1–16 of 16, most settled first

Ally Financial: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Q4’24Jan '25	Q1’25Apr '25	Q2’25Jul '25	Q3’25Oct '25	Q4’25Jan '26	Q1’26Apr '26	Q2’26Jul '26	Q3’26last call	Trend	Last 8	Scripted	All-time	Probability
Headwind	0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Jan '25	2 times: Headwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	5 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	5 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	4 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	2 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	3 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	7/888%	7/888%	29/5157%	88%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Volatility	1 time: Volatility, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	3 times: Volatility, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	1 time: Volatility, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	0 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Oct '25	1 time: Volatility, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	2 times: Volatility, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	1 time: Volatility, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	5 times: Volatility, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	7/888%	5/862%	34/5167%	84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
EV / Electric	8 times: EV / Electric, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	0 times: EV / Electric, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: EV / Electric, Q2’25 Jul '25	3 times: EV / Electric, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	6 times: EV / Electric, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: EV / Electric, Q1’26 Apr '26	3 times: EV / Electric, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	1 time: EV / Electric, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	falling	5/862%	3/838%	12/5124%	76%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tailwind	2 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	2 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	3 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	2 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	0 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26	2 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	steady	7/888%	7/888%	32/5163%	75%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
AI / Artificial Intelligence	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Apr '25	1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26	3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	4/850%	3/838%	5/5110%	61%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Credit Card	11 times: Credit Card, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	8 times: Credit Card, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	8 times: Credit Card, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	4 times: Credit Card, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	3 times: Credit Card, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	8 times: Credit Card, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	0 times: Credit Card, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Credit Card, Q3’26 Oct '26	falling	6/875%	6/875%	29/5157%	63%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tariff	0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25	8 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	6 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	3 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	1 time: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26	1 time: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	0 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26	falling	5/862%	4/850%	6/5112%	37%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Oil	0 times: Oil, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Oil, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Oil, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Oil, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Oil, Q4’25 Jan '26	2 times: Oil, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	1 time: Oil, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	1 time: Oil, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	3/838%	2/825%	5/5110%	63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Basel	0 times: Basel, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Basel, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Basel, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Basel, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Basel, Q4’25 Jan '26	1 time: Basel, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	0 times: Basel, Q2’26 Jul '26	1 time: Basel, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	2/825%	1/812%	11/5122%	43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Buyback	0 times: Buyback, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Buyback, Q1’25 Apr '25	1 time: Buyback, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	0 times: Buyback, Q3’25 Oct '25	2 times: Buyback, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	5 times: Buyback, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	0 times: Buyback, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Buyback, Q3’26 Oct '26	rising	3/838%	2/825%	33/5165%	52%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Rate Cut / Cut Rate	1 time: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	1 time: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	2 times: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	1 time: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Rate Cut / Cut Rate, Q3’26 Oct '26	falling	5/862%	4/850%	14/5127%	26%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
FICO	0 times: FICO, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: FICO, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: FICO, Q2’25 Jul '25	3 times: FICO, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	0 times: FICO, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: FICO, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: FICO, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: FICO, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	1/812%	1/812%	30/5159%	14%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’25 Jan '26	2 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	3 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	2 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	3/838%	2/825%	14/5127%	69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Buyback / Buy Back	0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’25 Apr '25	1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Oct '25	2 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	5 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’26 Oct '26	rising	3/838%	2/825%	33/5165%	45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Rate Cut	1 time: Rate Cut, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	1 time: Rate Cut, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	2 times: Rate Cut, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: Rate Cut, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	1 time: Rate Cut, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: Rate Cut, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Rate Cut, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Rate Cut, Q3’26 Oct '26	falling	5/862%	4/850%	14/5127%	30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Recession	0 times: Recession, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Recession, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Recession, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Recession, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Recession, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Recession, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Recession, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Recession, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	6/5112%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts

• times said on that call
• counted as said (ring)
• no call
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Trend

how the count moved over these calls

Scripted

calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks

All-time

every call on file

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Ally Financial (ALLY): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALLY (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ally-financial · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ally-financial · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP