Will Ally Financial say “Oil”?
Ally Financial said “Oil” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ally Financial said “Oil” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ally Financial
Oil
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Consumer debt continued to demonstrate resilience that we monitor several factors, including persistent inflation, affordability pressures, elevated oil prices, and lower personal savings rates.
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…the tariffs came into place, they've been working through those. Now with oil prices, they ebb and flow on a day-to-day basis. Right now, the…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our approach to underwriting as we assess the potential impact of higher oil prices and lower consumer sentiment. Our ability to actively calibrate our buy…
…but up meaningfully and likely helpful. There is a mix of macro factors—oil prices, consumer sentiment, personal savings. Putting it together, seasonality in the quarter…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Ally Financial say “Oil” on its last earnings call?
- Ally Financial said “Oil” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1 times.
- How often does Ally Financial say “Oil”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ally Financial said “Oil” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Ally Financial says “Oil” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ally Financial: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALLY/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ally-financial&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ally-financial&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP