Bank of America (BAC): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2026

On its Apr 15, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Bank of America said 11 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Inflation Yes78✓87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:01, Inflation–
Basel 3 Yes55✓26%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:02, Basel 3–
Rate Cut Yes44✓91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 17:03, Rate Cut–
Margin Yes44✓81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 15:09, Margin–
Erica Yes23✓87%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 37:01, Erica–
Small Business Yes22✓86%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:34, Small Business–
Tariff Yes22✓83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:07:40, Tariff–
Buyback Yes22✓48%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 38:12, Buyback–
Delinquency Yes11✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:36, Delinquency–
Pipeline Yes12✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 10:08, Pipeline–
M&A / Merger Yes12✓35%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 26:00, M&A / Merger–
CashPro No01✓71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓47%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran No00✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–
Oil No00✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

4 matches for “Rate Cut”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 17:05Hear it 16:59, Alastair Borthwick

…the most recent interest rate curve, which has now shifted from 2 rate cuts expected to having none currently, we're raising our full year NII…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyqa · 40:54Hear it 40:49, Alastair Borthwick

…loan growth stays there, deposit growth looks good, last a couple of rate cuts. Those might have hurt us at the back end of the…

L. Erika Penalacompanyqa · 53:01Hear it 52:58, L. Erika Penala

…net interest income outlook. As we think about the possibility of no rate cuts. How should we think about how BofA is going to handle…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyqa · 53:46Hear it 53:45, Alastair Borthwick

…watch that over the course of the year. But even with 2 rate cuts, no longer in the period in the second half, doesn't make…

Where the listed words were said

Brian Moynihancompany“Inflation” · prepared · 8:03Hear it 8:02, Brian Moynihan

…a faster growth rate around the world. When you look at the inflation, you can see on the lower left, you can see that the…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Basel 3” · prepared · 12:04Hear it 11:58, Alastair Borthwick

…we don't have any meaningful updates to report on the recently proposed Basel III Endgame or G-SIB capital changes. As proposed, Basel III would result…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Margin” · prepared · 15:11Hear it 15:09, Alastair Borthwick

…our risk posture. We remain highly liquid. We're focused on protecting our margin and preserving flexibility while continuing to support our clients. Let's turn to…

Brian Moynihancompany“Erica” · qa · 37:03Hear it 37:03, Brian Moynihan

…200,000 teammates have access to AI or can use it every day. Erica is more understood out there, but it's been brought across lots of…

Brian Moynihancompany“Small Business” · prepared · 7:36Hear it 7:30, Brian Moynihan

…what our customers really do both on the consumer side, corporate side, small business side, et cetera, and you can see that on the consumer…

Brian Moynihancompany“Tariff” · qa · 1:07:42Hear it 1:07:36, Brian Moynihan

…forward and a lot of things have been figured out with trade tariff policy immigration policy. Tax reform was in and deregulation was coming, the…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Buyback” · qa · 38:14Hear it 38:11, Alastair Borthwick

…future periods. So that's allowed us to do a little bit more buyback, it's allowed us to put out a little bit more balance sheet.…

Brian Moynihancompany“Delinquency” · prepared · 5:38Hear it 5:37, Brian Moynihan

…to asset quality. We saw improvement from last year. Net charge-offs, card delinquencies, reservable criticized assets and nonperforming loans all declined versus the first quarter…

Brian Moynihancompany“Pipeline” · prepared · 10:10Hear it 10:08, Brian Moynihan

…15th quarter we have year-over-year revenue growth. But more importantly, investment banking pipelines are building and engagement is up across all products. One of our…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“M&A / Merger” · prepared · 26:02Hear it 25:59, Alastair Borthwick

…positive in the quarter. Investment Banking fees, strong momentum was led by M&A with equity capital markets also up very nicely in the quarter. The…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bank-of-america:2026-04-15:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bank-of-america:2026-04-15:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP