Will Bank of America say “Recession”?

Bank of America did not say “Recession” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Bank of America did not say “Recession” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

14%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bank of America

Recession

Probability
14% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 14, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 15, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 4:35Hear it 4:29, Brian Moynihan In transcript

…that leads our worldwide leading research team to continue to predict no recession, a modestly growing economy about 1.5% at the end of the year…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

8 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 6:28Hear it 6:22, Brian Moynihan In transcript

…teams led by Candice Browning, does not currently believe we'll see a recession in 2025. However, they've lowered their GDP growth rates for 2025. And…

Brian Moynihancompanyqa · 53:07Hear it 53:01, Brian Moynihan In transcript

…think about all the different ways the economy can get knocked into recession or potential recession or lower growth. Remember, the whole world is predicting…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 16, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026RecessionKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026RecessionPolymarketNo0
Jul 14, 2026RecessionKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026RecessionKalshiNo0
Jan 14, 2026RecessionPolymarketNo0
Jan 14, 2026RecessionKalshiNo0
Oct 15, 2025RecessionKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Bank of America say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
Bank of America did not say “Recession” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Bank of America say “Recession”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Bank of America did not say “Recession” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2025.
What is the probability Bank of America says “Recession” next time?
14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bank of America: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BAC/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bank-of-america&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bank-of-america&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP