Home Depot (HD): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026

On its Feb 24, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), Home Depot said 8 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tariff Yes56✓78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes33✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Synergy Yes22✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue Yes22✓20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Innovation Yes12✓80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inflation Yes11✓51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
ICE / Border Yes11✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Volatility Yes12✓27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Weather No00✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday No00✓66%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition / Competitor No00✓30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
E-commerce / Ecommerce No00✓24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Revenue”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Mike Rowecompanyqa

…I mean, that was the opportunity for us to focus further on revenue synergies. We've had a number of examples where we've approached our customers…

Mike Rowecompanyqa

…Supply, reps to be able to contact SRS or GMS, sales rep to have that common approach. Very much focused on driving these revenue synergies.

Where the listed words were said

Ted Deckercompany“Tariff” · qa

…higher level, and then Billy can talk a little more specifically about tariffs. I mean, we very purposefully, obviously, have a range, and we maintain…

Ted Deckercompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · qa

Also now, with the advent of AI tools, we're introducing a number of project management and list builders for our pros, including things like an…

Billy Bastekcompany“Innovation” · prepared

…in our relationships with our growers allows us to continue to drive innovation and value to meet the needs of our customers and improves their…

Richard Mc Phailcompany“Inflation” · prepared

…customers also tell us they have concerns over general economic uncertainty, including inflation, growing job concerns, and higher financing costs. As we look ahead to…

Ted Deckercompany“ICE / Border” · qa

…this point on how spring is gonna play out. There will definitely be some damage, repair from all this ice and snow in the north.

Ted Deckercompany“Volatility” · qa

Thanks, Michael. I don't think it would lead to significantly more volatility over time. I think with the dramatic fall in roofing shipments in 2024,…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/home-depot:2026-02-24:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=home-depot:2026-02-24:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP