Mastercard (MA): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026

On its Jan 29, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Mastercard said 7 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Stablecoin Yes66✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cybersecurity Yes44✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tokenization Yes33✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Agent Pay Yes33✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Rate Cap / 10% Cap Yes34✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulatory Yes22✓60%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes11✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
M&A / Merger No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday No00✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fiserv No00✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpendingPulse No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

3 matches for “Agent Pay”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Michael Miebachcompanyprepared

…days, but we are ready. You remember, last year, we launched Mastercard AgentPay, a framework designed to foster trust in agentic transactions. We have now…

Michael Miebachcompanyqa

…you know, we've been at this for over eight months now with agent pay launching that as our framework around recognizing agents, ensuring identity, and…

Where the listed words were said

Michael Miebachcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…is the virtuous cycle in motion. The payments industry continues to evolve. Stablecoins and the Gentecommerce bring new choices to pay and get paid. And…

Michael Miebachcompany“Cybersecurity” · qa

…topic, that is often overlooked, and that is the potential risk to cybersecurity. This is a race to the bottom for the cheapest network option,…

Michael Miebachcompany“Tokenization” · prepared

…revenues benefit from transaction growth. And also higher growth drivers such as tokenization. For example, fraud scores and token authentication fall into this category. And…

Michael Miebachcompany“Rate Cap / 10% Cap” · qa

…Good. Yes. Appreciate your first comment, actually, on the order. So the rate cap. You know, that's a it's a really important conversation around affordability,…

Michael Miebachcompany“Regulation / Regulatory” · prepared

…the payments evolution. At the same time, environments shift. Customer needs, technology, regulation, so we adapt. And we prioritize ensuring we have the right capabilities…

Sachin Mehracompany“International” · prepared

…increased 14%. The three ppt difference is driven primarily by pricing in international markets, partially offset by mix. Transaction processing assessments were up 14% switched…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mastercard:2026-01-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mastercard:2026-01-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP