Will Mastercard say “M&A / Merger”?
Mastercard did not say “M&A / Merger” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Mastercard did not say “M&A / Merger” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mastercard
M&A / Merger
- Probability
- 33% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
And Jason, on your question on M&A. Look, I mean, just stepping back, our philosophy on M&A remains pretty much unchanged. It's always been strategy…
…to the extent we think it's appropriate to actually buy, that's where M&A comes in. The pipeline is robust. We are very, very deliberate about…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | M&A / Merger |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Mastercard say “M&A / Merger” on its last earnings call?
- Mastercard did not say “M&A / Merger” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Mastercard say “M&A / Merger”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mastercard did not say “M&A / Merger” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Mastercard says “M&A / Merger” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mastercard: ‘M&A / Merger’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MA/words/m-and-a-or-merger (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mastercard&word=m%26a%20%2F%20merger · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mastercard&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP