Mastercard (MA)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Mastercard’s earnings calls since 2026, on 12 different words. Next call: Oct 29, 2026 (13 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stablecoin | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 3 times: Stablecoin, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 6 times: Stablecoin, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: Stablecoin, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 7 times: Stablecoin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 6 times: Stablecoin, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 14 times: Stablecoin, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 15 times: Stablecoin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 10/7813% | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 95¢ Kalshi |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | 7 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 8 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 6 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tokenized / Tokenization, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 42/7854% | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | 90¢ Kalshi |
| Cybersecurity | 7 times: Cybersecurity, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 8 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Cybersecurity, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Cybersecurity, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 6/875% | 28/7836% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 90¢ Kalshi |
| Agent Pay | 0 times: Agent Pay, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Agent Pay, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 2 times: Agent Pay, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Agent Pay, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Agent Pay, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Agent Pay, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 6 times: Agent Pay, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: Agent Pay, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 6/788% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 90¢ Kalshi |
| International | 2 times: International, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: International, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: International, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 51/7865% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Regulation / Regulatory | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 2 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 5/862% | 2/825% | 57/7873% | 67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 63¢ Kalshi |
| Holiday | 0 times: Holiday, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Holiday, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Holiday, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Holiday, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Holiday, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Holiday, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 21/7827% | 42%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Rate Cap / 10% Cap | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 3 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/781% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 17¢ Kalshi |
| M&A / Merger | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 4 times: M&A / Merger, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 22/7828% | 33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 15¢ Kalshi |
| Fiserv | 0 times: Fiserv, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Fiserv, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Fiserv, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Fiserv, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Fiserv, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Fiserv, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Fiserv, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Fiserv, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 2/825% | 2/825% | 8/7810% | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 58¢ Kalshi |
| World Banknever said | 0 times: World Bank, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: World Bank, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: World Bank, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: World Bank, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: World Bank, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: World Bank, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: World Bank, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: World Bank, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | 15¢ Kalshi |
| SpendingPulse | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: SpendingPulse, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 46/7859% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 20¢ Kalshi |
| Trumpnever said | 0 times: Trump, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 10¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–1 of 1, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokenization | 5 times: Tokenization, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Tokenization, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 6 times: Tokenization, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tokenization, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Tokenization, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tokenization, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tokenization, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tokenization, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 39/7850% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 12 of 12 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 1, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Mastercard (MA): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MA (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mastercard · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mastercard · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP