Will Mastercard say “Holiday”?

Mastercard said “Holiday” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Mastercard did not say “Holiday” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mastercard

Holiday

Probability
42% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sachin Mehracompanyprepared · 24:33Hear it 24:27, Sachin Mehra In transcript

…lower impacts from the developments in the Middle East and timing of holidays. As we look at the first four weeks of July, our metrics…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sachin MehracompanypreparedIn transcript

…of April. As we look across Q1 and April, growth rates of our operating metrics were impacted by timing of holidays, namely Ramadan and Easter.

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sachin MehracompanypreparedIn transcript

…adjusting for the leap year and the timing of Easter and other holidays. Switched volume growth was impacted by a number of smaller factors, including…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 29, 2026HolidayKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Mastercard say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
Mastercard said “Holiday” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 times.
How often does Mastercard say “Holiday”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mastercard did not say “Holiday” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mastercard says “Holiday” next time?
42%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mastercard: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MA/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mastercard&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mastercard&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP