Bank of America (BAC): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 14, 2026

On its Jan 14, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Bank of America said 7 of the 10 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Rate Cut Yes58✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 19:29, Rate Cut–
Margin Yes56✓73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:50, Margin–
Tariff Yes44✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:43, Tariff–
Delinquency Yes33✓68%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:47, Delinquency–
Inflation Yes22✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 55:29, Inflation–
Pipeline Yes23✓60%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 32:13, Pipeline–
CashPro Yes11✓57%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 14:36, CashPro–
Buyback No00✓59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
M&A No00✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

12 matches for “Trading”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 6:56Hear it 6:51, Brian Moynihan

…deregulation. Global Markets under Jimmy's leadership saw continued growth in sales and trading with its 15th consecutive quarter of improvement and drove a record year…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 9:30Hear it 9:25, Alastair Borthwick

…the $28.4 billion in total revenue, $10.4 billion came from Sales & Trading, investment banking and asset management fees. And those are 3 of the…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 17:32Hear it 17:26, Alastair Borthwick

…third, client activity in Global Markets drove more of the sales and trading growth through NII than fees this quarter compared to Q3. That was…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 21:33Hear it 21:27, Alastair Borthwick

…growth and higher brokerage clearing and exchange costs, or BC&E, costs from trading activity. Those BC&E costs reflect client activity shifting toward higher growth and…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 22:11Hear it 22:05, Alastair Borthwick

…isolate the BC&E costs that supported a 10% increase in sales and trading revenue. Then combined, they represented roughly 2% of our expense growth for…

Where the listed words were said

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Rate Cut” · prepared · 19:31Hear it 19:25, Alastair Borthwick

…belief today based on the latest interest rate curve, which includes 2 rate cuts in 2026. To reiterate our expectation from Investor Day, we expect…

Brian Moynihancompany“Margin” · prepared · 5:52Hear it 5:46, Brian Moynihan

…Global Wealth & Investment Management showed improved nominal profit growth, stronger pretax margin improvement and continue to draw net new assets within the combined consumer…

Brian Moynihancompany“Tariff” · prepared · 8:15Hear it 8:09, Brian Moynihan

…our corporate commercial customers, again, as the tax law settled in, the tariffs appear to be manageable and deregulation kicked in. They had a pretty…

Brian Moynihancompany“Delinquency” · prepared · 7:49Hear it 7:49, Brian Moynihan

…that broad base of the U.S. consumer were stable through the year. Delinquencies and charge-offs improved in 2025 consumer credit. Unemployment in the market remains…

Brian Moynihancompany“Inflation” · qa · 55:31Hear it 55:30, Brian Moynihan

…due to headcount because that's 60-plus percent of our expenses. We've absorbed inflation and everything while we're doing that. The expense growth Alastair just told…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Pipeline” · prepared · 32:15Hear it 32:09, Alastair Borthwick

…regulatory and tariff announcements around the globe uncertainty settling in and our pipeline remains strong. Noninterest expense grew 6% compared to last year as we…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“CashPro” · prepared · 14:38Hear it 14:32, Alastair Borthwick

…to offer clients value and access to our award-winning digital platform in CashPro. Consumer Banking reported its third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth and low…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP