Bank of America (BAC): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 14, 2026

On its Jan 14, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Bank of America said 7 of the 10 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Rate Cut Yes58✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 19:29, Rate Cut–
Margin Yes56✓73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:50, Margin–
Tariff Yes44✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:43, Tariff–
Delinquency Yes33✓68%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:47, Delinquency–
Inflation Yes22✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 55:29, Inflation–
Pipeline Yes23✓60%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 32:13, Pipeline–
CashPro Yes11✓57%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 14:36, CashPro–
Buyback No00✓59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
M&A No00✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

4 matches for “Tariff”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 6:45Hear it 6:39, Brian Moynihan

…commercial clients settled in during the year after tax policy being clear, tariffs became more understood, and they look forward and receive the benefits of…

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 8:15Hear it 8:09, Brian Moynihan

…our corporate commercial customers, again, as the tax law settled in, the tariffs appear to be manageable and deregulation kicked in. They had a pretty…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 32:10Hear it 32:04, Alastair Borthwick

…earlier, investment banking fees showed good momentum, given all the regulatory and tariff announcements around the globe uncertainty settling in and our pipeline remains strong.…

Brian Moynihancompanyqa · 54:41Hear it 54:35, Brian Moynihan

…lot more pop than wealth management, which has, obviously, the financial advisory tariffs. So you have to also think of where the revenue growth is…

Where the listed words were said

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Rate Cut” · prepared · 19:31Hear it 19:25, Alastair Borthwick

…belief today based on the latest interest rate curve, which includes 2 rate cuts in 2026. To reiterate our expectation from Investor Day, we expect…

Brian Moynihancompany“Margin” · prepared · 5:52Hear it 5:46, Brian Moynihan

…Global Wealth & Investment Management showed improved nominal profit growth, stronger pretax margin improvement and continue to draw net new assets within the combined consumer…

Brian Moynihancompany“Delinquency” · prepared · 7:49Hear it 7:49, Brian Moynihan

…that broad base of the U.S. consumer were stable through the year. Delinquencies and charge-offs improved in 2025 consumer credit. Unemployment in the market remains…

Brian Moynihancompany“Inflation” · qa · 55:31Hear it 55:30, Brian Moynihan

…due to headcount because that's 60-plus percent of our expenses. We've absorbed inflation and everything while we're doing that. The expense growth Alastair just told…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Pipeline” · qa · 1:09:41Hear it 1:09:40, Alastair Borthwick

…feel good about the investment banking environment. We feel good about our pipeline. And yes, on the second question, we feel good about our investments.…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“CashPro” · prepared · 14:38Hear it 14:32, Alastair Borthwick

…to offer clients value and access to our award-winning digital platform in CashPro. Consumer Banking reported its third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth and low…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP