Bank of America (BAC): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 14, 2026
On its Jan 14, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Bank of America said 7 of the 10 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate Cut | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 19:29, Rate Cut | – |
| Margin | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 5:50, Margin | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 6:43, Tariff | – |
| Delinquency | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 7:47, Delinquency | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 83%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 55:29, Inflation | – |
| Pipeline | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 60%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 32:13, Pipeline | – |
| CashPro | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 14:36, CashPro | – |
| Buyback | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Recession | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| M&A | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
5 matches for “Guidance”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…on the assumptions on Slide 18, in line with our full year guidance. Okay. So let's turn to expense and we'll use Slide 10 for…
…just note on Slide 18, we provided a summary of the forward-looking guidance that we discussed today. So I'll stop there. Thank you. And with…
…know that you've got the accounting change, and you also have outstanding guidance for the expense ratio over the medium term, I believe it is…
For now, I'd use the 20% -- I mean, obviously, hence the guidance earlier. You're right, there are a small number of deals that don't…
…that the effective tax rate drifts up. But we'll be able to give you more guidance on that as we go through the various years.
Where the listed words were said
…belief today based on the latest interest rate curve, which includes 2 rate cuts in 2026. To reiterate our expectation from Investor Day, we expect…
…Global Wealth & Investment Management showed improved nominal profit growth, stronger pretax margin improvement and continue to draw net new assets within the combined consumer…
…commercial clients settled in during the year after tax policy being clear, tariffs became more understood, and they look forward and receive the benefits of…
…that broad base of the U.S. consumer were stable through the year. Delinquencies and charge-offs improved in 2025 consumer credit. Unemployment in the market remains…
…due to headcount because that's 60-plus percent of our expenses. We've absorbed inflation and everything while we're doing that. The expense growth Alastair just told…
…regulatory and tariff announcements around the globe uncertainty settling in and our pipeline remains strong. Noninterest expense grew 6% compared to last year as we…
…to offer clients value and access to our award-winning digital platform in CashPro. Consumer Banking reported its third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth and low…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bank-of-america:2026-01-14:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP