Home Depot (HD): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025
On its Nov 18, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Home Depot said 4 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innovation | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 75%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Synergy | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 46%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 74%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Black Friday | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 50%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 71%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Volatility | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Competition / Competitor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| E-commerce / Ecommerce | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Revenue | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 33%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “Black Friday”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…looking forward to the excitement we will bring with our annual holiday, Black Friday and Gift Center events. In our Gift Center event, we continue…
…cordless ] RYOBI tools for Milwaukee hand tools. And in appliances for Black Friday, we have exciting offers on LG, Samsung, [ Bosch, Whirlpool, GE…
Where the listed words were said
…of vendors across categories who continue to transform the industry with the innovation they bring to our customers on a daily basis. They include […
…operating cost in the inverse with wholesale. Of course, as we drive synergies between the two platforms, and the most important synergy is the cross-sell…
…mentioned, in our Q2 call after some policy changes were made around tariffs, we would take some moderate price moves with the entire strategy to…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/home-depot:2025-11-18:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=home-depot:2025-11-18:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP