Walmart (WMT): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 21, 2025

Thu, Aug 21Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptWalmart

On its Aug 21, 2025 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Walmart said 14 of the 19 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 19 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

19 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 19 of 19

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Sam's Club Yes1313✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
China Yes77✓92%transcripts from the transcript model–
Back-to-school Yes55✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Q3 Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automation Yes22✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gross margin Yes28✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Profit faster than sales Yes22✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Omnichannel Yes11✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
President Yes11✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Health and wellness Yes11✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bentonville Yes11✓67%transcripts from the transcript model–
Brick-and-mortar Yes11✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
Operating margin Yes11✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Free cash flow Yes11✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Capex No00✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dividend No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sustainability No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retention No00✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Health and wellness”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

John David Raineycompanyprepared

…category mix remains a headwind. As sales growth in grocery and health and wellness outpaced general merchandise. In international, gross profit rate declined with continued…

Where the listed words were said

Steph Wissinkcompany“Sam's Club” · prepared

…from Walmart US, Kath McLay from Walmart International, and Chris Nicholas from Sam's Club. For additional detail on our results, including highlights by segment, please…

Doug Mc Milloncompany“China” · prepared

…view, we grew international sales by 10.5% in constant currency, led by China, Walmex, and Flipkart. International continues to help lift our top-line growth rate.…

Doug Mc Milloncompany“Back-to-school” · prepared

…grocery was up 30% in the quarter compared to last year. Back to school is usually something of an indicator of how the holidays will…

John David Raineycompany“Q3” · prepared

…Q1 and Q2, as well as continued inflation in claims cost in Q3 and Q4 although we do not expect the same magnitude of increases…

John David Raineycompany“Automation” · prepared

…of share gains while investing in our associates, in our supply chain automation in stores and clubs, and in AI and technology. Now I'll get…

John David Raineycompany“Gross margin” · prepared

…and popularity of our Scan and Go app with members. Q2 consolidated gross margin increased four basis points on a reported basis and was up…

Doug Mc Milloncompany“Profit faster than sales” · prepared

…our annual guidance in a minute. We're still driving towards growing profit faster than sales this year, and that's reflected in our guidance. Importantly, the…

John David Raineycompany“Omnichannel” · prepared

…this year positions us well for sustained sales growth momentum and stronger omnichannel advantages into future years. As the cost of goods environment settles, we…

Operatoroperator“President” · prepared

…is being recorded. I'll now turn the conference over to Steph Wissink, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. Steph, you may begin. Thank you. Welcome, everyone.

John David Raineycompany“Brick-and-mortar” · qa

…of our earnings stream. We are more than just a standard brick and mortar retail business. We have a much more diversified set of profit…

John David Raineycompany“Operating margin” · prepared

…currency basis. Driven by stronger than expected sales and continued on underlying operating margins, offset by higher claims cost. Adjusted EPS was up 1.5% to…

John David Raineycompany“Free cash flow” · qa

…20% range. But we also because we generate fair amount of free cash flow, we have an opportunity to be balanced there. And in the…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/walmart:2025-08-21:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=walmart:2025-08-21:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP