Will Walmart say “China”?

Walmart said “China” 7 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 6, 11, 7, 7, 4, 3, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “China” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

90%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Walmart

China

Probability
90% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John Furnercompanyprepared · 4:21Hear it 4:19, John Furner In transcript

…Club U.S. delivered comps of 4.4%. International was up 7.9%, led by China and India. For Walmart U.S., I feel good about how the underlying…

John Furnercompanyprepared · 7:10Hear it 7:04, John Furner In transcript

…Walmart International is now 30%, with strong growth again this quarter in China, India, and Canada. Growth in Q2 was 19%. Sam's Club U.S. grew…

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John FurnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…of my job, whether that's here in the U.S. or places like China and India, where I got to spend time recently. Running an omnichannel…

John FurnercompanypreparedIn transcript

The team in China delivered over a half billion units in Q1, with about 75% of those arriving in under one hour. Our store and…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

John RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…27% with 35% of store-fulfilled orders delivered in under 3 hours. In China, eCommerce grew 28% and represented more than 50% of the sales mix…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 21, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 20, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2024 · said 9 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 21, 2025ChinaKalshiYes7

Questions

How many times did Walmart say “China” on its last earnings call?
Walmart said “China” 7 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 6, 11, 7, 7, 4, 3, 7 times.
How often does Walmart say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “China” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 21, 2025.
What is the probability Walmart says “China” next time?
90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Walmart: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/WMT/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

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