Will Walmart say “Dividend”?

Walmart did not say “Dividend” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Dividend” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

30%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Walmart

Dividend

Probability
30% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

John RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…returning significant capital to shareholders. Year-to-date, we've returned nearly $13 billion through dividends and share repurchases. Overall, Q3 results demonstrate the underlying strength and…

John RaineycompanyqaIn transcript

…investments that we made a decade ago, those were starting to pay dividends. And so I hope I can lay any concerns that there's going…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 21, 2025 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

John David RaineycompanyqaIn transcript

…be determined. We'll see where prices are. We need to balance this with both increasing our dividend as well as investing in ourselves through CapEx.

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 20, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

John David RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…strong. And as we announced this morning, we're pleased to raise the dividend by 13% this year, the largest increase in over a decade, reinforcing…

Chris NicholascompanyqaIn transcript

…too. We're investing across the member value proposition, and it's really paying dividends and making it easier through digital engagement, making it easier through the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 21, 2026DividendKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026DividendKalshiNo0
Nov 20, 2025DividendPolymarketYes2
Nov 20, 2025DividendKalshiYes2
Aug 21, 2025DividendKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Walmart say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
Walmart did not say “Dividend” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Walmart say “Dividend”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Dividend” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 20, 2025.
What is the probability Walmart says “Dividend” next time?
30%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Walmart: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/WMT/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=walmart&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=walmart&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP