Will Walmart say “Back-to-school”?

Walmart said “Back-to-school” 7 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 5, 4, 0, 0, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Back-to-school” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Walmart

Back-to-school

Probability
77% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

John Furnercompanyqa · 42:13Hear it 42:11, John Furner In transcript

…month than the month of June. We're pleased with the way back to school and back to college have started. We'll monitor over time, and…

John David Raineycompanyqa · 47:47Hear it 47:47, John David Rainey In transcript

…think, is as strong as ever, we feel really good about how we're performing and what the outlook is. Back to school, back to college.

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Doug Mc MilloncompanypreparedIn transcript

…been impressive. Both Walmart and Sam's U.S. delivered strong seasonal sell-throughs for back-to-school and Halloween. The results we're delivering today are powered by our people…

John RaineycompanyqaIn transcript

…other quarters this year. Holiday is off to a pretty good start. Back-to-school tends to be an early indicator for how that goes, Halloween, likewise…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 21, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Doug Mc MilloncompanypreparedIn transcript

…grocery was up 30% in the quarter compared to last year. Back to school is usually something of an indicator of how the holidays will…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 20, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 21, 2025Back-to-schoolKalshiYes5

Questions

How many times did Walmart say “Back-to-school” on its last earnings call?
Walmart said “Back-to-school” 7 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 5, 4, 0, 0, 7 times.
How often does Walmart say “Back-to-school”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Back-to-school” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 21, 2025.
What is the probability Walmart says “Back-to-school” next time?
77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Walmart: ‘Back-to-school’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/WMT/words/back-to-school (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=walmart&word=back%20to%20school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=walmart&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP