Apple (AAPL): FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025

Thu, May 1Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptApple

On its May 1, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q2), Apple said 14 of the 22 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 22 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

22 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 22 of 22

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Services Yes1217✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
China Yes810✓91%transcripts from the transcript model–
Apple Intelligence Yes89✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Vision Pro Yes66✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
Supply chain Yes69✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
India / Indian Yes59✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
MacBook Yes44✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Privacy Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Wearables Yes22✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Battery life Yes22✓52%transcripts from the transcript model–
Apple silicon Yes11✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ecosystem Yes11✓73%transcripts from the transcript model–
Loyalty Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Share repurchase / Share buy-back / Share Buyback Yes11✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Upgrade Cycle No00✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulator / Regulatory No00✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Satellite No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
App Store margin No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Augmented Reality /AR No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Chipset No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retail footprint No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Ultra”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Tim Cookcompanyprepared

…Mac we've ever shipped, equipped with M4 Max and our new M3 Ultra chip. It's a true AI powerhouse capable of running large language models…

Kevan Parekhcompanyprepared

…Vision Pro in the year ago quarter as well as the Watch Ultra 2 launched last year. At the same time, the Apple Watch installed…

Where the listed words were said

Tim Cookcompany“Services” · prepared

…Diluted EPS was $1.65, up 8% year-over-year and a March quarter record. Services achieved an all-time revenue record, growing 12% compared to the prior year.…

Kevan Parekhcompany“China” · prepared

…the March quarter, iPhone was a top-selling model in the U.S., urban China, the UK, Germany, Australia, and Japan. And we continue to see high…

Tim Cookcompany“Apple Intelligence” · prepared

…whether you're taking it across the street or around the world. And Apple Intelligence and Apple Pencil Pro are a perfect match, with features like…

Tim Cookcompany“Vision Pro” · prepared

…the impact technology can have when it's designed with care. Meanwhile, Apple Vision Pro takes the concert experience to a whole new level with Metallica,…

Tim Cookcompany“Supply chain” · prepared

…us make important progress towards our goal of carbon neutrality across our supply chain and the life cycle of our products by 2030. Now let…

Tim Cookcompany“India / Indian” · prepared

…of the online store in Saudi Arabia and new retail stores in India starting later this year. Let's now turn to Services, where we achieved…

Kevan Parekhcompany“MacBook” · prepared

…enterprise. New Bank, the largest digital bank in Latin America has selected MacBook Air as a standard computer for their thousands of employees. With Vision…

Tim Cookcompany“Privacy” · prepared

…we went to great lengths to build a system that protects user privacy, whether requests are processed on-device or in the cloud with Private Cloud…

Tim Cookcompany“Battery life” · prepared

…modem ever in an iPhone, allowing iPhone 16e to have the longest battery life of any 6.1-inch iPhone. Meanwhile, iPhone 16 and iPhone 16 Plus…

Tim Cookcompany“Apple silicon” · prepared

…to help our users live a better day. It's why we designed Apple Silicon with a neural engine that powers so many AI features across…

Kevan Parekhcompany“Loyalty” · prepared

…Mac. And thanks to our high levels of customer satisfaction and strong loyalty, our installed base of active devices reached an all-time high across all…

Kevan Parekhcompany“Share repurchase / Share buy-back / Share Buyback” · prepared

…into the future, today, our Board authorized an additional $100 billion for share repurchases as we maintain our goal of getting to net cash neutral.…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2025-05-01:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2025-05-01:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP