Will Tim Cook say “Tool”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook said “Tool” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 9, 2025 – Jun 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Cook
Tool
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 15 by speakers the rule does not count.
…great experiences across their apps. We've seen that when we put powerful tools into people's hands, they can do extraordinary things from extraordinary places, places…
…my time as CEO have been events like this. Sharing powerful new tools with all of you and then seeing what you create with them…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Tool |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Tim Cook say “Tool”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook said “Tool” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Cook says “Tool” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Cook: ‘Tool’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/tim-cook/words/tool (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-cook&word=tool · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-cook&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP