Will Tim Cook say “Update / Updated”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook did not say “Update / Updated” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 9, 2025 – Jun 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Cook
Update / Updated
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…talk about our next set of releases, where we have some exciting updates to share. This year, we put our focus into three areas. First,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…seamless and enjoyable. We’re excited to see how developers will bring these updates and this new design language to their apps. Our new OS releases…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Update / Updated |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Tim Cook say “Update / Updated”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook did not say “Update / Updated” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Cook says “Update / Updated” next time?
- 17%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Cook: ‘Update / Updated’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/tim-cook/words/update-or-updated (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-cook&word=update%20%2F%20updated · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-cook&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP