Will OpenAI say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, OpenAI did not say “Trump” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 7, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
16%from settlement history only · n=2counts: company speakers
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
OpenAI
Trump
- Probability
- 16% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: company speakers
We don’t have transcripts for OpenAI yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does OpenAI say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, OpenAI did not say “Trump” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 7, 2025.
- What is the probability OpenAI says “Trump” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “OpenAI: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/openai/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=openai&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=openai&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP