OpenAI: Episode, Aug 7, 2025
Polymarket What will be said during OpenAI livestream on August 7?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Research | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GPT 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Multimodal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sam / Altman | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Browser | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| It's a good model | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Roadmap | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-openai-livestream-on-august-7 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP