Michael Saylor

Name: Michael Saylor: mention market word history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Business · Finance & cryptoPersonMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 22:21 UTC

As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 32 word markets on Michael Saylor’s appearances since 2025, on 29 different words.

History Wall

1–31 of 31, most settled first

Michael Saylor: every word with settled markets, most settled first
Word	May 6 ’25keynote	Apr 28 ’26latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Trump	Not said: Trump, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Trump, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/20%	0/20%	21%n=2 from settlement history
AI / Artificial Intelligence	Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 6 ’25 keynote	1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence5+ times	Said: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Cycle	Not listed: Cycle, May 6 ’25 keynote	4 times: Cycle, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Digital Credit	Not listed: Digital Credit, May 6 ’25 keynote	37 times: Digital Credit, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ETF	Not listed: ETF, May 6 ’25 keynote	3 times: ETF, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gold	Said: Gold, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Gold, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
HODL / Hold	Not listed: HODL / Hold, May 6 ’25 keynote	7 times: HODL / Hold, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Institution / Institutional	Not listed: Institution / Institutional, May 6 ’25 keynote	8 times: Institution / Institutional, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Million	Not listed: Million, May 6 ’25 keynote	14 times: Million, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Satoshi	Not listed: Satoshi, May 6 ’25 keynote	1 time: Satoshi, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
STRC / Stretch	Not listed: STRC / Stretch, May 6 ’25 keynote	30 times: STRC / Stretch, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Winter	Not listed: Winter, May 6 ’25 keynote	1 time: Winter, Apr 28 ’26 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Billion20+ times	Not said: Billion 20+, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Billion 20+, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bitcoin50+ times	Not said: Bitcoin 50+, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Bitcoin 50+, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bitcoin75+ times	Not said: Bitcoin 75+, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Bitcoin 75+, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bull	Not listed: Bull, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Bull, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
China	Not said: China, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: China, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Crypto5+ times	Not said: Crypto 5+, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Crypto 5+, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ethereum / ETH	Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Ethereum / ETH, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Growth	Not said: Growth, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Growth, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Hyperliquid	Not listed: Hyperliquid, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Hyperliquid, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Inflation	Not said: Inflation, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Inflation, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Interest Rate	Not said: Interest Rate, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Interest Rate, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nvidia	Not said: Nvidia, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Nvidia, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Quantum	Not listed: Quantum, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Quantum, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stock Market	Not listed: Stock Market, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Stock Market, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve	Not said: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Strategic Reserve	Not listed: Strategic Reserve, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Strategic Reserve, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tariff	Not said: Tariff, May 6 ’25 keynote	Not listed: Tariff, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Vegas	Not listed: Vegas, May 6 ’25 keynote	0 times: Vegas, Apr 28 ’26 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
N: settled no
not listed
probability next time, with n
Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N: of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled: every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability: the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 2

Our transcript counts matched how 18 of 18 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
Date	Appearance	Text	Words	Settled	Our count agreed
Apr 28, 2026	KeynoteWhat will Michael Saylor say during his Bitcoin Keynote Speech?	Captions · machine-attributed	19	10 yes · 9 no	18/18 (100%)
May 6, 2025	KeynoteWhat will Saylor say during his Strategy World 2025 keynote?	no transcript	14	2 yes · 12 no	–

Citeparrot.markets, “Michael Saylor: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/michael-saylor (CC BY 4.0)

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