Will Michael Saylor say “Winter”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Saylor said “Winter” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Apr 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michael Saylor
Winter
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…of the crypto or or the bear market here in the crypto winter, Bitcoin peaked in October 6th. It was 125,000 a coin. It's 38%…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Winter |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Michael Saylor say “Winter”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Saylor said “Winter” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Michael Saylor says “Winter” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Saylor: ‘Winter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/michael-saylor/words/winter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-saylor&word=winter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-saylor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP