Michael Saylor: Strategy World 2025 keynote, May 6, 2025

At the keynote on May 6, 2025, Michael Saylor said 2 of the 14 words Polymarket listed.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Gold Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Billion 20+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin 50+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin 75+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
China No–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Growth No–new new word, no probability yet–
Inflation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Interest Rate No–new new word, no probability yet–
Nvidia No–new new word, no probability yet–
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No public transcript expected. No official public recording known; market data and settlement only. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/michael-saylor:2025-05-06:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=michael-saylor:2025-05-06:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP