Will Michael Saylor say “HODL / Hold”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Saylor said “HODL / Hold” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Apr 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Saylor

HODL / Hold

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Michael Saylor say during his Bitcoin Keynote Speech? · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

7 counted.

Michael Saylorspeaker6:56In transcript

…it's also an appeal to corporate treasurers and CFOs that want to hold some high-performance monetary asset on their balance sheet. A lot of people…

Michael Saylorspeaker9:57In transcript

…look at it. Uh Bitcoin is something for people that want to hold for 10 years. It's a roller coaster. It's got 30 ARR. It's…

Every match in the transcript

What will Saylor say during his Strategy World 2025 keynote? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 28, 2026HODL / HoldKalshiYes7

Questions

How often does Michael Saylor say “HODL / Hold”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Saylor said “HODL / Hold” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Saylor says “HODL / Hold” next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Saylor: ‘HODL / Hold’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/michael-saylor/words/hodl-or-hold (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-saylor&word=hodl%20%2F%20hold · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-saylor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP