Mark Zuckerberg: Episode, Sep 17, 2025
Kalshi What will Zuck say during the TBPN Podcast?
Markets
26 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America / American | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Glasses | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| a16z / Andreessen | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alexander / Wang | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anduril | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Based | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Llama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Metaverse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oculus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palmer / Luckey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Privacy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Smoke / Smoker | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Talent | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Threads | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Winklevoss | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZUCKMENTION-25SEP17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP