Will Ken Griffin say “Trump / President”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ken Griffin said “Trump / President” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 14, 2026.
Of the last 2 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Apr 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ken Griffin
Trump / President
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 keynotes
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…didn't know their backgrounds. We didn't know why they were coming here. President Trump did something really great for our country in securing our border.…
Counts: named speaker only
11 counted; 16 by speakers the rule does not count.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Trump / President |  Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How often does Ken Griffin say “Trump / President”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Ken Griffin said “Trump / President” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Ken Griffin says “Trump / President” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ken Griffin: ‘Trump / President’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/ken-griffin/words/president-or-trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ken-griffin&word=president%20%2F%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ken-griffin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP