Ken Griffin: America Business Forum, Nov 7, 2025

At the keynote on Nov 7, 2025, Ken Griffin said 1 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Part of America business forum (2 appearances).

Updated

Markets

15 words · 1 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Inflation Yes12✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Autonomous No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin / Crypto No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bubble No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
CapEx No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
ChatGPT / OpenAI No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
China No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Debt No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Elon / Musk No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Gold No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Innovation No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Real Estate No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Regulation / Regulatory No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · America Business Forum (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Ken Griffinspeaker“Inflation” · 6:33

…cope with being wrong. You know, one of the problems with great inflation in the United States is we're not teaching young Americans what it's…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/ken-griffin:2025-11-07:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=ken-griffin:2025-11-07:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP