Will Ken Griffin say “Oil”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ken Griffin said “Oil” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 14, 2026.
Of the last 2 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Apr 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ken Griffin
Oil
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 keynotes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
…a massive energy producer. Absolutely. So, if this is an extended high oil price, some parts of the US economy are going to suffer. Transportation,…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
…and I And I said it the soon as the price of oil went up, that I would not be surprised to see a significant…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Oil |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Ken Griffin say “Oil”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ken Griffin said “Oil” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Ken Griffin says “Oil” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ken Griffin: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/ken-griffin/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ken-griffin&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ken-griffin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP