Will Ken Griffin say “Gold”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Ken Griffin did not say “Gold” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Apr 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

12%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ken Griffin

Gold

Probability
12% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 2 keynotes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Ken Griffin say during Semafor World Economy 2026? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Ken Griffin say during the America Business Forum? · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 14, 2026GoldKalshiNo0
Nov 7, 2025GoldKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Ken Griffin say “Gold”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ken Griffin did not say “Gold” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025.
What is the probability Ken Griffin says “Gold” next time?
12%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ken Griffin: ‘Gold’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/ken-griffin/words/gold (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ken-griffin&word=gold · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ken-griffin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP