Will Elon Musk say “Team”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Team” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 12, 2026.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Elon Musk

Team

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Elon MuskspeakerWorld Economic Forum · Jan 23, 2026 · 22:07In transcript

…building up um large-scale solar. Right. So, the the SpaceX and Tesla teams both separately are working to build to 100 gigawatts a year of…

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 12, 2026TeamPolymarketNo≈3 (settled no · our count of 3 includes reposts, so it is not graded)

Questions

How often does Elon Musk say “Team”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Team” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 12, 2026.
What is the probability Elon Musk says “Team” next time?
13%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Team’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/team (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=team · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP