Will Elon Musk say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Nuclear” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 2, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elon Musk
Nuclear
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…China's growth in electricity is is tremendous. They're building 100 gigawatts of nuclear as we speak. Uh actually solar is the biggest thing in China.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nuclear |  Polymarket | No | ≈0 (settled no · our count of 0 includes reposts, so it is not graded) |
Questions
- How often does Elon Musk say “Nuclear”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Nuclear” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Elon Musk says “Nuclear” next time?
- 12%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP