Will Brian Armstrong say “Prediction Market”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Prediction Market” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Dec 17, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Brian Armstrong
Prediction Market
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…just crypto. And customers want one place where they can trade equities, prediction markets, commodities using spot trading, derivatives, and options. And as every asset…
…Everything Exchange. You can now trade multiple asset classes on Coinbase. Equities, prediction markets, millions of crypto assets, token sales, simple derivatives, anywhere, anytime. Next,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Prediction Market |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Prediction Market |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Prediction Market | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Brian Armstrong say “Prediction Market”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Prediction Market” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Brian Armstrong says “Prediction Market” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Brian Armstrong: ‘Prediction Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/brian-armstrong/words/prediction-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=brian-armstrong&word=prediction%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=brian-armstrong&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP