Brian Armstrong: Episode, Feb 18, 2025
Polymarket What will Brian Armstrong say during X space?
Markets
7 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin 20+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Cryptocurrency 50+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milady | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Solana 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-brian-armstrong-say-during-x-space · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP