Will Brian Armstrong say “Perpetual Futures / Perp”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong did not say “Perpetual Futures / Perp” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Dec 17, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

14%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=brian-armstrong&word=perp%20%2F%20perpetual%20future

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Brian Armstrong

Perpetual Futures / Perp

Probability
14% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 18, 2025Perpetual Futures / PerpKalshiNo0
Dec 17, 2025Perpetual Futures / PerpPolymarketNo0
Dec 4, 2025Perpetual Futures / PerpKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Brian Armstrong say “Perpetual Futures / Perp”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong did not say “Perpetual Futures / Perp” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025.
What is the probability Brian Armstrong says “Perpetual Futures / Perp” next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Brian Armstrong: ‘Perpetual Futures / Perp’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/brian-armstrong/words/perp-or-perpetual-future (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=brian-armstrong&word=perp%20%2F%20perpetual%20future · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=brian-armstrong&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP