Will Brian Armstrong say “Ethereum”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Ethereum” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 18, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Dec 17, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Brian Armstrong
Ethereum
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we've also incubated the most popular layer 2 blockchain on top of Ethereum called Bass, which gives developers a powerful foundation to build crypto utility…
…your entire financial life. So today we announced direct deposit, instant unstaking, Ethereum backed loans, updates to our borrow product, and a redesigned peer-to-peer payment…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Brian Armstrong say “Ethereum”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Ethereum” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Brian Armstrong says “Ethereum” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Brian Armstrong: ‘Ethereum’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/brian-armstrong/words/ethereum (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=brian-armstrong&word=ethereum · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=brian-armstrong&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP