Will Brian Armstrong say “Bitcoin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Bitcoin” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Dec 17, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Brian Armstrong
Bitcoin
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 13 by speakers the rule does not count.
…We've actually been tokenizing assets for many years at Coinbase with wrapped Bitcoin and stable coins. But that was just the beginning. So today we're…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Brian Armstrong say “Bitcoin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Brian Armstrong said “Bitcoin” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Brian Armstrong says “Bitcoin” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Brian Armstrong: ‘Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/brian-armstrong/words/bitcoin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=brian-armstrong&word=bitcoin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=brian-armstrong&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP