Will Alex Karp say “Drone”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Alex Karp did not say “Drone” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

15%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=alex-karp&word=drone

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alex Karp

Drone

Probability
15% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Alex Karp yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Alex Karp say during the TBPN Podcast? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Alex Karp say during the NYT DealBook Summit? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 12, 2026DroneKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025DroneKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Alex Karp say “Drone”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Alex Karp did not say “Drone” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025.
What is the probability Alex Karp says “Drone” next time?
15%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alex Karp: ‘Drone’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/alex-karp/words/drone (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alex-karp&word=drone · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alex-karp&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP